原创 欧欧 欧欧量化抓妖记2025年05月25日 08:08广西日升鑫
一、散户常踩的3大趋势坑,这套策略全解决!你是否总遇到这些情况?
看均线金叉买入,结果刚进就跌——趋势方向没看清;涨了几天就慌着卖,错过主升浪——趋势强度不会判;想跟趋势却总滞后,追高被套——拐点信号抓不准。别慌!今天分享的「趋势量化实战策略」,用3根均线+连续涨跌数字+量化曲线,把复杂趋势变成「能看、能判、能抓」的简单信号,散户也能精准跟趋势!
图片日升鑫
二、3步看懂趋势:三线定方向,数字看强度,曲线抓拐点1. 3根均线:给趋势装「方向标」记住3个关键均线:
3日线(短期线)3天内的平均成本,上穿13日线(中期线)= 短线资金进场;13日线(中期线)13天的趋势分水岭,向上拐头= 波段行情要启动;34日线(长期线)全年趋势的「牛熊线」,走平或向上时,短期线突破= 长期趋势转强。怎么用?
三线「3日>13日>34日」向上发散(紫K线):多头趋势,大胆参与;三线「3日<13日<34日」向下压制(绿K线):空头趋势,空仓避险;三线交叉缠绕(灰K线):震荡市,轻仓或观望。2. 连续涨跌数字:趋势强度的「进度条」K线底部/顶部的红/绿数字(1-16),是趋势持续性的「进度条」:
红数字(底部)比如「5」= 连续5天收盘价高于4天前,数字越大,涨势越稳;绿数字(顶部)比如「8」= 连续8天收盘价低于4天前,数字越大,跌势越接近尾声(超卖反弹信号)。3. 量化曲线:趋势拐点的「预警灯」红色上升曲线和绿色下跌曲线,是趋势的「预警灯」:
红色曲线陡峭= 上涨加速;走平或向下= 可能回调;绿色曲线平缓(-10°到40°)= 下跌放缓,可能反转;向上突破= 跌势转涨。三、实战操作:信号驱动,3步跟住主升浪1. 买:2类信号分仓进
趋势反转点看到红数字≥2(比如「2」)+ 红色曲线拐头+ 3日线上穿13日线,轻仓2成试错(止损设最近低点);趋势加速点出现黄色「加速」提示+ 3日线突破34日线+ 成交量放大1.5倍,加仓至5成(以13日线为防守,不破不走)。2. 持:顺着趋势拿稳股
多头趋势(紫K线)+ 红数字递增(比如从「3」到「6」):沿3日线持有,主升浪至少吃10%-25%;若绿数字出现+ 红色曲线走平+ 3日线跌破13日线:减仓一半;跌破34日线清仓,锁定利润。3. 防:破位必走,仓位管风险
买入后3天内跌破信号K线低点或34日线,果断止损(亏≤5%);空头趋势(绿K线)或绿数字≥5:空仓!不碰任何信号,避免深套;震荡市(灰K线):仓位≤3成,只做超跌反弹(绿数字≥8)。实战口诀:记住这4句,跟趋势不迷路!红数连涨趋势强,三线向上是战场;金叉试错加仓快,加速信号别彷徨;破线止损不犹豫,趋势反转要离场。
总结:散户跟趋势的「傻瓜式」法则这套策略把趋势变成「能看的线、能数的点、能抓的信号」,不用看复杂指标,盯着三线状态、数字变化、加速提示,就能精准上车主升浪,趋势反转前下车。记住:趋势的钱最好赚,用对方法,散户也能稳抓主升浪!
附通达信“趋势量化战法”主图指标公式:
CTA_DP:=(C*3+H+L+O)/6; {日均价}
CTA_SA:=EMA(CTA_DP,5)*2-MA(CTA_DP,5);
CTA_PROG:=SMA(SMA(CTA_SA,3,1),3,1); {程序}
CTA_IND:=FLOOR((CTA_PROG-MA(CTA_PROG,5))/MA(CTA_PROG,5)*100); {指标}
CTA_MA513:=MA(C,5)-MA(C,13)+MA(C,8); {制作}
CTA_UPTREND:=SMA(SMA((EMA(CTA_SA,5+ABS(CTA_IND))),2,1),2,1); {上升趋势}
CTA_DNTREND:=ATAN((CTA_UPTREND/REF(CTA_UPTREND,1)-1)*100)*57.3; {下跌趋势}
CTA_LAUNCH:=IF((-10<CTA_DNTREND) AND CTA_DNTREND<40,CTA_UPTREND,DRAWNULL); {拉升}
IF(CTA_UPTREND<REF(CTA_UPTREND,1) AND CTA_UPTREND<MA(CTA_UPTREND,5),CTA_UPTREND,DRAWNULL),COLORBLACK,LINETHICK2;
IF(CTA_DNTREND<=-10,CTA_UPTREND,DRAWNULL),COLORBLACK,LINETHICK4;
CTA_SINGCH:SUM(100*V/CAPITAL,1),COLORRED,NODRAW; {单换手}
CTA_FIVCH:SUM(100*V/CAPITAL,5),COLORRED,NODRAW; {五日换手}
CTA_CHNG:(C-REF(C日升鑫,1))/REF(C,1)*100,COLORMAGENTA,NODRAW; {涨幅}
CTA_CAP:ROUND(CAPITAL/1000)/1000,COLORMAGENTA,NODRAW; {流通}
DRAWTEXT_FIX(C>O,0.01,0.9,0,'微信公众号:欧欧量化抓妖记'),COLOR0000FF;
LC:=REF(C,1);
CTA_N:=C>=REF(C,4);
CTA_N1:=REF(CTA_N,1)=1 AND C>=REF(C,4) AND CTA_N;
CTA_N2:=REF(CTA_N1,1)=1 AND C>=REF(C,4) AND CTA_N;
CTA_N3:=REF(CTA_N2,1)=1 AND C>=REF(C,4) AND CTA_N;
CTA_N4:=REF(CTA_N3,1)=1 AND C>=REF(C,4) AND CTA_N;
CTA_N5:=REF(CTA_N4,1)=1 AND C>=REF(C,4) AND CTA_N;
CTA_N6:=REF(CTA_N5,1)=1 AND C>=REF(C,4) AND CTA_N;
CTA_N7:=REF(CTA_N6,1)=1 AND C>=REF(C,4) AND CTA_N;
CTA_N8:=REF(CTA_N7,1)=1 AND C>=REF(C,4) AND CTA_N;
CTA_N9:=REF(CTA_N8,1)=1 AND C>=REF(C,4) AND CTA_N;
CTA_N10:=REF(CTA_N9,1)=1 AND C>=REF(C,4) AND CTA_N;
CTA_N11:=REF(CTA_N10,1)=1 AND C>=REF(C,4) AND CTA_N;
CTA_N12:=REF(CTA_N11,1)=1 AND C>=REF(C,4) AND CTA_N;
CTA_N13:=REF(CTA_N12,1)=1 AND C>=REF(C,4) AND CTA_N;
CTA_N14:=REF(CTA_N13,1)=1 AND C>=REF(C,4) AND CTA_N;
CTA_N15:=REF(CTA_N14,1)=1 AND C>=REF(C,4) AND CTA_N;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_N=1,L*0.982日升鑫,'1'),COLOR0000FF;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_N1=1,L*0.982,'2'),COLOR0000FF;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_N2=1,L*0.982,'3'),COLOR0000FF;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_N3=1,L*0.982,'4'),COLOR00DDFF;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_N4=1,L*0.982,'5'),COLOR0000FF;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_N5=1,L*0.982,'6'),COLOR0000FF;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_N6=1,L*0.982,'7'),COLOR0000FF;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_N7=1,L*0.982,'8'),COLOR0000FF;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_N8=1,L*0.982,'9'),COLOR0000FF;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_N9=1,L*0.982,'10'),COLOR0000FF;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_N10=1,L*0.982,'11'),COLOR0000FF;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_N11=1,L*0.982,'12'),COLOR0000FF;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_N12=1,L*0.982,'13'),COLOR0000FF;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_N13=1,L,'14'),COLOR0000FF;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_N14=1,L,'15'),COLOR0000FF;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_N15=1,L,'16'),COLOR0000FF;
CTA_M:=C<REF(C,4) AND LC>REF(LC,4);
CTA_M1:=REF(CTA_M,1) AND C<REF(C,4) AND LC<REF(LC,4);
CTA_M2:=REF(CTA_M1,1) AND C<REF(C,4) AND LC<REF(LC,4);
CTA_M3:=REF(CTA_M2,1) AND C<REF(C,4) AND LC<REF(LC,4);
CTA_M4:=REF(CTA_M3,1) AND C<REF(C,4) AND LC<REF(LC,4);
CTA_M5:=REF(CTA_M4,1) AND C<REF(C,4) AND LC<REF(LC,4);
CTA_M6:=REF(CTA_M5,1) AND C<REF(C,4) AND LC<REF(LC,4);
CTA_M7:=REF(CTA_M6,1) AND C<REF(C,4) AND LC<REF(LC,4);
CTA_M8:=REF(CTA_M7,1) AND C<REF(C,4) AND LC<REF(LC,4);
CTA_M9:=REF(CTA_M8,1) AND C<REF(C,4) AND LC<REF(LC,4);
CTA_M10:=REF(CTA_M9,1) AND C<REF(C,4) AND LC<REF(LC,4);
CTA_M11:=REF(CTA_M10,1) AND C<REF(C,4) AND LC<REF(LC,4);
DRAWTEXT(CTA_M,H*1.02,'1'),COLOR00CC00;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_M1,H*1.02,'2'),COLOR00CC00;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_M2,H*1.02,'3'),COLOR00CC00;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_M3,H*1.02,'4'),COLOR00CC00;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_M4,H*1.02,'5'),COLOR00CC00;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_M5,H*1.02,'6'),COLOR00CC00;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_M6,H*1.02,'7'),COLOR00CC00;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_M7,H*1.02,'8'),COLOR00CC00;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_M8,H*1.02,'9'),COLOR00CC00;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_M9,H*1.02,'10'),COLOR00CC00;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_M10,H*1.02,'11'),COLOR00CC00;
DRAWTEXT(CTA_M11,H*1.02,'12'),COLOR00CC00;
CTA_MA3:=MA(C,3);
CTA_MA13:=MA(C,13);
CTA_MA34:=MA(C,34),COLORRED,LINETHICK2;
CTA_X:=BARSLAST(REF(CROSS(C,MA(C,120)),1)) AND CROSS(MA(C,20),MA(C,120));
STICKLINE(CTA_MA3>=CTA_MA13 AND CTA_MA34>=REF(CTA_MA34,1),H,L,0.1,0),COLOR0000DD;
STICKLINE(CTA_MA3>=CTA_MA13 AND CTA_MA34>=REF(CTA_MA34,1) AND C>=O,O,C,3,1),COLOR0000DD;
STICKLINE(CTA_MA3>=CTA_MA13 AND CTA_MA34>=REF(CTA_MA34,1) AND C<O,O,C,3,0),COLOR0000DD;
STICKLINE(CTA_MA3<CTA_MA13 AND CTA_MA34>=REF(CTA_MA34,1),H,L,0.1,0),COLORFF0080;
STICKLINE(CTA_MA3<CTA_MA13 AND CTA_MA34>=REF(CTA_MA34,1) AND C>=O,O,C,3,1),COLORFF0080;
STICKLINE(CTA_MA3<CTA_MA13 AND CTA_MA34>=REF(CTA_MA34,1) AND C<O,O,C,3,0),COLORFF0080;
STICKLINE(CTA_MA3<CTA_MA13 AND CTA_MA34<REF(CTA_MA34,1),H,L,0.1,0),COLOR00FF00;
STICKLINE(CTA_MA3<CTA_MA13 AND CTA_MA34<REF(CTA_MA34,1) AND C>=O,O,C,3,1),COLOR00FF00;
STICKLINE(CTA_MA3<CTA_MA13 AND CTA_MA34<REF(CTA_MA34,1) AND C<O,O,C,3,0),COLOR00FF00;
STICKLINE(CTA_MA3>=CTA_MA13 AND CTA_MA34<REF(CTA_MA34,1),H,L,0.1,0),COLOR00FFFF;
STICKLINE(CTA_MA3>=CTA_MA13 AND CTA_MA34<REF(CTA_MA34,1) AND C>=O,O,C,3,1),COLOR00FFFF;
DRAWTEXT(CROSS((MA(C,3)+MA(C,6)+MA(C,12)+MA(C,24))/4,(EMA(C,6)+EMA(C,18)+EMA(C,54)+EMA(C,162))/4),L-0.13,'加速'),COLORFFFF00;
注:本文所述战法为历史规律总结,不构成投资建议。市场有风险,决策需谨慎。
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